Tag Archives: nassim taleb

Steve Carpenter on Black Swans

Posted on November 20, 2008 by Garry Peterson

Ecologist Steve Carpenter follows up on Don Ludwig’s comments on Nassim Nicholas Taleb‘s book The Black Swan: Both of Taleb’s books are highly entertaining. But he over-reaches. There are some odd mistakes. For example, he makes much of a supposed … Continue reading →

Posted in Greenlash, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Don Ludwig on the Black Swan

Posted on November 14, 2008 by Garry Peterson

The applied mathematician and scholar of uncertainty Don Ludwig reflects on the financial crisis, resilience, and The Black Swan: This is a sort of book review. By now you may have heard of The Black Swan: the impact of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Regime Shifts | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Financial resilience – Taleb and Mandelbrot reflect on crisis

Posted on September 17, 2008 by Garry Peterson

Nassim “Black Swan” Taleb writes on Edge about an unwillingness or consider and remember extreme events leads to financial disaster in The Fourth Quadrant: A map of the limits of statistics. Statistical and applied probabilistic knowledge is the core of … Continue reading →

Posted in Ecological Management, Regime Shifts | Tagged , , , , , | 3 Comments

Black Swans: expecting the unexpected

Posted on April 7, 2007 by Garry Peterson

Nassim Nicholas Taleb uses the term Black Swan to identify significant unexpected events. Holling made some similar points from a different perspective in his 1973 paper on resilience and his 1986 paper the resilience of terrestrial ecosystems; local surprise and … Continue reading →

Posted in Ideas, Reorganization | Tagged , , , | 6 Comments