Tag Archives: narrative

Scenarios have to be plausible, but reality is under no such constraints

Following up on my comments on William Gibson‘s discuss of his science fiction where I wrote that “Scenarios have to be plausible, but reality is under no such constraints” Futurist, scenario planner, and co-founder of WorldChanging, Jamais Cascio writes on his weblog Open … Continue reading

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Murakami on fiction for an unreal world

One of the problems with scenario planning is that it requires plausible scenarios, but that reality is behaves in ways that are implausible.  This is another way of describing what Nassim Taleb named Black Swans, significant unexpected events, that change … Continue reading

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Pattern recognition

I quoted William Gibson‘s book Pattern Recognition in a workshop on Expertise for the Future the other day.  Gibson wrote: … we have no idea, now, of who or what the inhabitants of our future might be. In that sense, … Continue reading

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