resilienceSci on Twitter- resilienceSci: RT @MarkAndrachuk: "How many qualitative interviews is enough?" via @ECGGroup and @jenlove23 http://t.co/JWcrY5y9V2 #ecrchat #phdchat May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: Fun end to SRC Futures panel with a good discussion on ingredients & potential for a "good" #Anthropocene. May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: RT @DianeOrihel: Reason triumphs, sometimes: #ELA Lake 227 was fertilized with #phosphorus this week, so this 44-year experiment continues!… May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: RT @DianeOrihel: On May 7, scientists called on #DFO and #EC to reverse its decision to end world's longest #eutrophication exp't http://t.… May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: ESPA funded postdoctoral position for SRC lead project on poverty alleviation & coastal ecosystem services http://t.co/g60LUkWAV2 May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: @MichaelSchoon1 I put the "good" in quotes - but gave some criteria that could be used to define good May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: RT @sthlmresilience: @MichaelSchoon1: indeed, that is a critical question and is being discussed during the panel May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: RT @MichaelSchoon1: @vgalaz @sthlmresilience @FredrikMoberg @resilienceSci @gustafr good for whom? May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: RT @sthlmresilience: So Prof Peterson says criteria for a good Anthropocene is that it is: Fair, Prosperous, Sustainable, Resilient and fun May 24, 2013
- resilienceSci: RT @vgalaz: Abt to kick off final global future panel disc @sthlmresilience "Creating a Good Anthropocene?" ft @FredrikMoberg @resilienceSc… May 24, 2013
Category Archives: Scenarios
Tim Daw on ecosystem services tradeoffs
In the video below Tim Daw, from the University of East Anglia’s School of International Development and the Stockholm Resilience Centre, explains his project Participatory Modelling of Wellbeing Tradeoffs in Coastal Kenya. The project, in which I’m also participating, has … Continue reading
Posted in Ecological Management, Ecosystem services, Scenarios
Tagged ecosystem service tradeoffs, fisheries, human well being, Kenya, poverty, Tim Daw, video
Leave a comment
Forty years of Limits to Growth
The first presentation of the influential environmentalist book Limits to Growth was on March 1 in 1972 at the Smithsonian Institution in Washington DC, four decades ago. The study was both hugely influential and hugely controversial, and the authors were quite … Continue reading
Development with Fossil or Solar Energy?
The price of solar power has been rapidly decling over the past several decades (~ 7%/year decline in US$/watt or a cost halving every 10 years ). This drop , combined with peristently high oil prices is producing some interesting … Continue reading
Posted in Design, Networks, Scenarios
Tagged energy, generators, grid, moore's law, solar power
2 Comments
Scenarios have to be plausible, but reality is under no such constraints
Following up on my comments on William Gibson‘s discuss of his science fiction where I wrote that “Scenarios have to be plausible, but reality is under no such constraints” Futurist, scenario planner, and co-founder of WorldChanging, Jamais Cascio writes on his weblog Open … Continue reading
William Gibson does not think our present was anyone’s future
David Wallace-Wells has a long interview with William Gibson on the Art of Fiction in the Paris Review. The interview concludes Do you think of your last three books as being science fiction? GIBSON No, I think of them as attempts … Continue reading
Posted in Scenarios
Tagged futures, Paris Review, science fiction, William Gibson, writing
Leave a comment
The future according to Google
Some projections about the future from the webcomic XKCD:
Participatory Scenario Development Approaches
Participatory scenario development is a process that involves the participation of stakeholders to explore the future in a creative and policy-relevant way. For an example see the 2008 paper Making Investments in Dryland Development Work: Participatory Scenario Planning in the … Continue reading
Murakami on fiction for an unreal world
One of the problems with scenario planning is that it requires plausible scenarios, but that reality is behaves in ways that are implausible. This is another way of describing what Nassim Taleb named Black Swans, significant unexpected events, that change … Continue reading
Need for new utopian stories
Following up on the previous post’s William Gibson quote, another science fiction writer with interesting ideas about the future is Scottish writer Charlie Stross. On his weblog Charlie’s Diary, he writes about something I think is important, the need for … Continue reading
Posted in Scenarios
Tagged Charles Stross, Future, narratives, positive futures, science fiction, utopia
2 Comments
Pattern recognition
I quoted William Gibson‘s book Pattern Recognition in a workshop on Expertise for the Future the other day. Gibson wrote: … we have no idea, now, of who or what the inhabitants of our future might be. In that sense, … Continue reading
Posted in Scenarios
Tagged books, Hubertus Bigend, narrative, Pattern Recognition, William Gibson
5 Comments